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Ego or Revenge: Why is Newt Gingrich Still Running?

20120111-081347.jpgLet me start off this post by saying how much I admire former Speaker Newt Gingrich. Yes, he has proven to be a shrewd politician in the past, but the value of his service to the cause of conservatism is immeasurable.

With that said, he’s been in this race for two different contests now and he’s repeatedly placed in the bottom half of the pack. And it’s not due to a lack of variety, as Iowa and New Hampshire conservatives and voting methods are stark contrasts from one another.

What’s worse, I think it could easily be argued that Newt’s presence in the race prevented Rick Santorum from firmly establishing himself as the anti-Romney candidate by winning Iowa in a convincing manner. Bachmann played a role in that, too. Rick Santorum’s inability to get a major victory over Mitt Romney is probably why Rick Perry is still in this race. I’ve long compared Rick Perry to Fred Thompson in 2008, and his botched Iowa campaign and direct flight from there to South Carolina to attack everybody (including Santorum) seems to only reaffirm the legitimacy of that comparison.

All Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Santorum are going to do in South Carolina is divide anti-Romney conservatives three ways and ensure the nomination of Mitt Romney.

Unless… No.

Well, maybe. Maybe that’s not going to be what happens. Maybe, Newt Gingrich is staying in this race just long enough to travel to South Carolina, shake some hands, and then shock the political world by getting out and endorsing Rick Santorum in his concession speech.

I missed Newt Gingrich’s post-New Hampshire primary speech because I was on the phone with a snake-oil salesman from India working for Dell (he tried telling me $200 software with a 3-year license would magically make my fiancée’s computer work – her motherboard is defective… They’ll do anything to avoid standing behind their warranty).

However, I did see Newt’s Iowa speech and that made it pretty clear he has a lot of respect for Rick Santorum. Given that Santorum has come closest to beating Romney in either of these contests (8 votes in Iowa), I think he should probably be the consensus candidate to take on Romney the rest of the way forward.

If Newt Gingrich forcefully endorses Santorum in South Carolina, it’s hard to imagine Romney winning that state. It would be icing on the cake if Perry would get on board with the plan, too. That latter part is extremely unlikely, however.

The question for Newt Gingrich is, “Why are you running?” If this is about his ego, he’ll stay in until after South Carolina and then endorse Mitt Romney as though everything that happened between them was just a joke. If this is about getting revenge on Mitt Romney, he’ll endorse Santorum sometime soon in South Carolina and then work at further discrediting Mitt Romney.

For what it’s worth, that’s what he would do if he was sincere about his desire to elect a conservative to the White House.

I don’t know what Newt’s motives are and I won’t venture a guess at this point. We’ll see if Newt puts his cause before himself in South Carolina and discuss it further when we know for sure.

For the first time in this race, someone other than Mike Huckabee or Sarah Palin has the weight to be a king-maker in the GOP; that person being Newt Gingrich.

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Plagiarized by Dan Balz of the Washington Post? (IT’S A TRAP!)

Maybe “plagiarized” is a bit strong of a word. But when someone steals my analysis and tries to pass it off as their own, it gets on my nerves. I’ll let you decide for yourself what it is. Either way, however, I beat the Washington Post with this by about TWO DAYS. Plus, in my honest opinion, my post was more entertaining to read.

Here’s the Washington Post blog piece by Dan Balz.

(9 January 2012) Rick Santorum and the Huckabee Trap

Two days earlier on 7 January 2012, you may remember I wrote this before the Presidential Debate on ABC.

(7 January 2012) Rick Santorum Should Be In South Carolina, Not New Hampshire!

Here’s an excerpt from my blog post:

After a razor thin 8-vote loss to Mitt Romney in Iowa, Rick Santorum is in New Hampshire hoping to shock the political world yet again. But, as Admiral Ackbar warns, “IT’S A TRAP!!!”

Let’s look at this without the Star Wars joke…

And then I explained my analysis of the situation without the Star Wars joke.

Rick Santorum is a solid conservative candidate that conservatives of all backgrounds could really get behind (Ron Paul’s supporters aren’t conservatives, they’re anti-conservative reactionaries and anarchists). The problem is that he is most often and easily identified as a social conservative. Unfortunately, while that was a huge benefit to him in Iowa, it doesn’t mean squat in New Hampshire, which is typically more interested in limited government and cutting taxes. Herein lies the trap that catches so many underdog candidates.

To illustrate what is going to happen, let’s take a minute to look at Mike Huckabee in 2008. After winning Iowa, Huckabee was on top of the world… except financially. In a lot of ways, he was in a much better position than Rick Santorum coming out of Iowa, having beaten Romney in a nearly landslide fashion. Like Santorum, Huckabee made the decision to go to New Hampshire… where he lost… miserably. [...] By the time Huckabee got to South Carolina, a state he should have won in a landslide, Huckabee found himself trying to fend off John McCain while Fred Thompson mercilessly attacked Huckabee. Huckabee narrowly lost South Carolina’s primary to McCain before Thompson dropped out.

[...]

Because Santorum has no chance of winning New Hampshire, like Huckabee, he really should head down to South Carolina and make his stand there. You have to remember, Santorum spent months preparing for his narrow loss to Romney in Iowa. He has precious few days in New Hampshire, so a victory there is almost entirely out of the question. South Carolina, on the other hand, is much more in line with his natural demographic and is at least weeks (not days) away.

As many of the readers who have been around since the Huckabee campaign will attest to, I have said since day one that going to New Hampshire was a mistake. I actually wrote about the problem for lesser-known or flat-out-broke Presidential Candidates in New Hampshire and beyond here:

Why Doesn’t Iowa Pick The Winners?

With six months or more, it’s possible for even the most incompetent and understaffed campaign team to lay the groundwork for victory providing they have a damn good candidate. For argument’s sake, let’s say Rick Santorum wins Iowa because he’s the most conservative candidate. He now has to move his entire campaign team to South Carolina (he’s smart enough to skip New Hampshire) and try laying the same winning ground work they had in a matter of only 15 days (1 for travel, 1 for the primary). That’s pretty much impossible.

Mike Huckabee had much the same problem in 2008. Only after Iowa, instead of going to South Carolina, Huckabee campaigned in New Hampshire. And after that, he went to Michigan; which moved their primary up really far. Huckabee lost both those states (one might say that was inevitable). By the time he got to South Carolina, he had moved his entire campaign team THREE times, had more losses than victories, and ignored South Carolina while Fred Thompson was in the state assailing him mercilessly with nobody in the state to respond. Huckabee eventually lost South Carolina, too.

I would have posts going back to 2008 all saying the same thing if my account wasn’t hacked and deleted by Ron Paulbots a while ago.

Here’s what the Washington Post’s Dan Balz wrote today.

Rick Santorum and the Huckabee Trap

MANCHESTER, N.H. — No one has campaigned harder in New Hampshire this past week than Rick Santorum. But has the Republican former senator from Pennsylvania fallen into the same trap that ensnared Mike Huckabee four years ago?

There is something alluring about New Hampshire and its storied presidential primary. The gravitational pull of the state’s history, its tradition and the clutch of media that descend on the state during primary week can be irresistible, particularly to a dark-horse candidate who springs a surprise in Iowa.

But there is also the cruel reality that, for Santorum, South Carolina looms as a more crucial test for his candidacy. In New Hampshire, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is the clear favorite to win. The electorate here includes a smaller percentage of social and religious conservatives who were key to Santorum’s success in Iowa.

Would Santorum have been better off spending the bulk of his time since Iowa burrowing into South Carolina rather than New Hampshire? Four years ago, Huckabee won Iowa and was faced with a decision similar to the one Santorum confronted. The former Arkansas governor opted to make a play for New Hampshire (and later Michigan) rather than heading south to plant a flag in South Carolina. His reward? He finished a distant third, with just 11 percent of the vote.

When the Palmetto State voted a few weeks later, Huckabee narrowly lost to Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), effectively ending his hopes of winning the GOP nomination. Former senator Fred Thompson (Tenn.), who had parked in South Carolina after Iowa and received enough votes there to destroy Huckabee’s chances of beating McCain, also hurt him.

[...]

I mean, take away my personal experiences and Star Wars humor, and it’s the same thing two days later. Balz even called it a “TRAP!”

Am I crazy here or was my post plagiarized by the Washington Post? When I was in college, if I tried to do something like this, I’m pretty sure every last one of my professors would have kicked me out of their class and reported me for plagiarism. Then again, maybe it’s not plagiarism; and I just worked really hard for nothing, writing my own papers by expressing my own thoughts.

As I said before, this is exactly why people read KTracy.com. The analysis you get here is completely unique from what you find anywhere else (especially the Washington Post). Plus, there’s a lot more fun being had here. When’s the last time Admiral Ackbar and Sun Tzu were quoted in the same article by any national news organization?

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Newt Defends the Catholic Church from Vicious Progressive Government Attacks

I think Newt Gingrich touched on something here that Catholics should probably be a lot more concerned about. While we’re hearing all this rhetoric about how Americans aren’t ready to accept a Mormon as President, our Church’s enormous charity groups are being attacked silently, but without mercy along with the Church itself. Newt only talked about what’s happening in New England, but this sort of thing is happening across the entire country, most recently in Illinois.

What’s really bad is that this really doesn’t hurt the Catholic Church. It hurts the millions of people who benefit from scores of Catholic service organizations. Coincidentally, those also happen to be some of the largest in the United States and the world.

These ads are running somewhat sporadically on television from what I’ve seen, but they’re pretty darn powerful when you see one. They also make you realize all the Catholic Church has done and is doing to better the world:

Now tell me, does it really make sense that the government should be trying to shut down this organization, especially when no other service organization or church, or combination thereof, is strong enough to take on the incredible service responsibilities the Catholic Church is eagerly taking on everyday?

Last night’s debate was by far the #WorstDebateEver as was mentioned during last night’s live-blog of the event. Although I still think Mitt Romney won the debate, Newt Gingrich walked away with the single most memorable and important response of the night. As Catholics, we should all be a little more aware of the attacks on our Church by progressives in government and in the courts.

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Rick Santorum Should Be In South Carolina, Not New Hampshire!

After a razor thin 8-vote loss to Mitt Romney in Iowa, Rick Santorum is in New Hampshire hoping to shock the political world yet again. But, as Admiral Ackbar warns, “IT’S A TRAP!!!”

Let’s look at this without the Star Wars joke.

Rick Santorum has virtually no money, he’s really far back in the polls in New Hampshire, and he’s trailing in South Carolina according to recent polls, as well. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, has an enormous lead in New Hampshire and so much money that he wipes his butt with campaign donations. It really doesn’t make any sense that Rick Santorum would be in New Hampshire. Yes, it’s true that Santorum has spent the most time in the state of any of the candidates except Jon Huntsman. That really says more about the foolishness of his campaign strategists than anything else, though.

Rick Santorum is a solid conservative candidate that conservatives of all backgrounds could really get behind (Ron Paul’s supporters aren’t conservatives, they’re anti-conservative reactionaries and anarchists). The problem is that he is most often and easily identified as a social conservative. Unfortunately, while that was a huge benefit to him in Iowa, it doesn’t mean squat in New Hampshire, which is typically more interested in limited government and cutting taxes. Herein lies the trap that catches so many underdog candidates.

To illustrate what is going to happen, let’s take a minute to look at Mike Huckabee in 2008. After winning Iowa, Huckabee was on top of the world… except financially. In a lot of ways, he was in a much better position than Rick Santorum coming out of Iowa, having beaten Romney in a nearly landslide fashion. Like Santorum, Huckabee made the decision to go to New Hampshire… where he lost… miserably. Then, after that loss, Huckabee went to Michigan; Mitt Romney’s home state. He lost again, coming in third after Romney and McCain. By the time Huckabee got to South Carolina, a state he should have won in a landslide, Huckabee found himself trying to fend off John McCain while Fred Thompson mercilessly attacked Huckabee. Huckabee narrowly lost South Carolina’s primary to McCain before Thompson dropped out.

Granted, Huntsman will be out of the race after he loses New Hampshire, but Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich aren’t dropping out until after losing South Carolina (or possibly even Florida or Super Tuesday if the trend of waves of random support for random candidates continues. Granted, Santorum won’t have to worry about Newt attacking him. Perry, on the other hand, might violently attack all of his opponents, including Santorum, in order to make a last stand in South Carolina.

Because Santorum has no chance of winning New Hampshire, like Huckabee, he really should head down to South Carolina and make his stand there. You have to remember, Santorum spent months preparing for his narrow loss to Romney in Iowa. He has precious few days in New Hampshire, so a victory there is almost entirely out of the question. South Carolina, on the other hand, is much more in line with his natural demographic and is at least weeks (not days) away. However, if Santorum is going to survive the kind of infrastructure Mitt Romney’s toilet paper money can buy, he needs every second he can possibly get working his tail off in South Carolina.

Sun Tzu said, “He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot will be victorious.”

Rick Santorum, lose the battle in New Hampshire and focus instead on winning the war. As Admiral Ackbar said, “IT’S A TRAP!”

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Live Coverage of the GOP Presidential Debate

9:45
The KTracy: Well folks, that’s all. Thanks hanging in there. That was the #WorstDebateEver – I hope KTracy.com made it a little more enjoyable. I’ll see if I can get a transcript online.

9:44
The KTracy: Guest, that’s almost an insult. :)

I’m not running because I live in a Democrat-dominated Congressional District; including the entire city of Gary, Indiana. It would be a waste of time and money until the people in that city learn Republicans aren’t the devil and that the Democrats have taken horrible advantage of them for decades.

9:40
Comment From Guest
Kevin – why don’t you run for Congress? You seem at least as smart as these candidates on tv.

9:40
Comment From Guest
I think so. Theres def. something on it.

9:38
The KTracy: Coincidentally, that’s why a trade war won’t happen… large businesses have lobbyists to ensure it doesn’t happen.

9:37
The KTracy: Huntsman argues that it hurts small business, he didn’t say this, but he presumes that it hurts them not because they export to China, but because they sell Chinese products. In fact, large retail businesses sell Chinese goods more than small businesses and it helps them keep their costs down. It’s possible a trade war with China might actually help small businesses compete against large businesses.

9:34
The KTracy: Mitt is right about the trade war rhetoric. It’s bad, but it hurts them a lot more than us.

9:33
The KTracy: Romney to Huntsman “You were doing the will of the Obama administration in China when the rest of us were trying to get Republicans elected.” GREAT COMEBACK! He then goes on to slam China for the crap they’re doing to our economy.

9:31
The KTracy: Is Mitt Romney’s lapel flag dented or have something on it in the lower right corner? I’m not watching the debate in HD?

9:30
The KTracy: Santorum is doing a great job making himself look more Presidential. I’m almost tempted not to steal his lunch money now.

9:29
The KTracy: Santorum: Saying “Middle Class” is divisive and un-American, liberal speak.

Interesting to see Santorum is a Functionalist… that’s pretty darn conservative.

9:28
The KTracy: Newt: “Obama’s goal of making the US a socialist European state is sincere.” Then he builds on that with a slam against Romney. I was hoping Gingrich would be a lot more hostile.

9:27
The KTracy: Romney is doing really well in this debate.

9:24
The KTracy: Huntsman slams Romney. “I was #1 job creating Governor in the country. Romney was #47.”

9:23
The KTracy: Did Rick Perry get a haircut? I really think he should have dropped out.

9:21
The KTracy: Rick Santorum is coming across really smart. He might be able to bring back the US manufacturing industry. The challenges to manufacturers in the United States are too great to be solved by Romney’s half-ass solutions.

9:17
Comment From Guest
#worstdebateever hahaha – i can see that

9:12
The KTracy: The tag #WorstDebateEver has appeared on Twitter. Great job, @ABC – you suck.

9:09
The KTracy: What the hell, is ABC proud of that contraception question? Don’t show that again. It was a waste of time the first time we saw it.

9:08
The KTracy: Krista, we usually did our pop runs or changed the channel for a bit whenever she went on. We also did that with Ron Paul, so we got some pretty big breaks. That’s probably why.

9:06
Comment From Krista
This debate seems to be moving at a slower pace than prior ones. Is this the result of not having to make up time for Bachmann butting in with her ignorant comments every two seconds?
9:06
The KTracy: Santorum lands a nice “Chicago politician” jab against Obama.

9:05
The KTracy: Guest, that’s nice, but I think I get less ad revenue now that you’re not refreshing constantly.
9:05
The KTracy: Ron Paul’s foreign policy sounds like it is based on the movie “Forest Gump.” Stupid is as Ron Paul does.
9:04
Comment From Guest
I like this live blogging tool. It’s much better than refreshing the website every 5 or 10 minutes.
9:02
The KTracy: FINALLY!!! Good job Newt! We NEED energy independence to solve this issue.

9:01
The KTracy: Ummm… letting Iranians back in Iraq? He said it twice. Is he talking about the insurgency? That never really stopped.

8:58
The KTracy: I’m not a big fan of Newt’s yellow shirt. It looks really crappy on my TV.

8:56
The KTracy: This is why I don’t like Huntsman. Nation building overseas is critical for preventing terrorism around the world. Governments MUST be strong enough to fight terrorism before they kill innocent people.

8:54
The KTracy: This is really stupid. Gay marriage is not even remotely a topic of concern in New Hampshire. Let’s get to RELEVANT issues, please!

8:52
The KTracy: Romney did a good job explaining the consequences of legalizing gay marriage.

8:50
The KTracy: Newt is standing up for Catholics more than Santorum! And he gets a huge applause for doing it! This is New England, afterall.

8:49
The KTracy: Yeah, I think they are. America is slowly becoming more and more progressive. If we don’t change marriage laws drastically, I suspect gay marriage will not only be the rule of law, but that churches would have to recognize homosexual marriage by federal law, too.

8:46
Comment From Guest
Hey Kev, do you think civil unions are “fair”

8:45
The KTracy: This is the WORST moderated debate I’ve seen in a long time. This is what happens when you let a loyal Democrat moderate a debate. (George Stephanopoululoulos was a member of the Clinton administration until he was fired for incompetence.

8:41
The KTracy: I agree with Mitt, here. This is a non-issue.

8:41
The KTracy: Okay, after some quick research, it appears George Washington, James Monroe, and Andrew Jackson were the first Presidents to have served in the US military. John Adams, Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, and John Quincy Adams didn’t serve. Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, and (perhaps accidentally) James Monroe took us to war.

8:32
The KTracy: Commercial break! Time for more pop.

8:31
The KTracy: Ron Paul: My racist statements has been explained many times… no it hasn’t. Explain it, liar.

8:29
The KTracy: With the exception of George Washington, how many of the founding US Presidents actually served in the American uniform?

8:28
The KTracy: Newt is hitting the nail on the head on supporting our veterans and increasing the number of VA hospitals. It’s a problem across the country, not just New Hampshire.

8:25
The KTracy: ROMNEY IS WRONG!!! Don Rumsfeld reformed the military so we could no longer fight two wars on opposite ends of the world. That’s on the GW Bush administration.

8:24
Comment From Krista
Is Romney paying attention here, or did he forget he’s in the middle of a debate?

8:24
The KTracy: Ron Paul wouldn’t do a better job than Barack Obama.

8:24
The KTracy: I agree with Romney that we should have stood up for the Iranian people during the Green Revolution.

8:23
The KTracy: Jon Huntsman needs to explain how we’re going to get term-limits on Congressmen. That requires a Constitutional Amendment and that requires Congress to agree to term limits for themselves. That’s less realistic than Herman Cain’s 9-9-9 plan.

8:21
The KTracy: (Now you people see why I’m marrying this girl)

8:20
Comment From Krista
Watching Ron Paul struggle is like watching someone drown a rat.

8:19
The KTracy: NICE!! Perry calls Ron Paul a hypocrite! AGREED!! Ron Paul is scrambling!

8:18
The KTracy: Wow! The “Spendometer.” I totally forgot about that thing. Rick Perry is attacking Santorum, which kind of confirms for me that Santorum needs to be in New Hampshire.

8:15
The KTracy: Santorum: “I’m a conservative. I’m not a libertarian.” I LOVE IT!!! He also called out Ron Paul for all his pork projects!

8:14
The KTracy: Santorum is doing a GREAT job defending himself here!

8:13
The KTracy: NICE! Santorum to Paul: “They caught you not telling the truth.”

8:13
The KTracy: Ron Paul has no integrity.

8:11
The KTracy: Huntsman says he has manufacturing experience… is the manufacturing industry dead in the United States, though? Especially with free trade policies towards the underdeveloped world.

8:09
Comment From Guest
Newt should not have quoted the NYT

8:09
The KTracy: Joining me is my fiance, who is sitting here watching the debate with me.

8:07
Newt just sounds angry today

8:04
Does anybody else want to steal Rick Santorum’s lunch money? How much experience does he really have dealing with Iran?

8:02
Here we go! I don’t know why they go over the rules, nobody follows them.

7:56
Let me start off by saying ABC’s Wipeout is the most sorry excuse for television programming in history. I think we can all agree on that, regardless of what controversial things might be said tonight.

7:55
Good evening, loyal (and not-so-loyal) readers. My live blogging of the GOP Presidential Debate in New Hampshire will begin shortly. This is our first time working with Cover It Live, let me know what you think!
Saturday January 7, 2012

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Ron Paul supporters would put Barack Obama back in the White House

Happy New Year, readers. Iowans will caucus today and before any of my Iowa readers possibly embarrass themselves by supporting Ron Paul, I want to make one final case against him and the militant idiot brigade that’s supporting him.

If you’re thinking about supporting Ron Paul, it’s probably because you’re biggest issue is the outrageous growth of government in not just size and cost, but it’s involvement in our everyday lives. Listen, I’m with you 100% on this. The passage of Obamacare and the immoral tactics which were used to get it out of the Senate woke a lot of people up.

The fact that there are those among us who will naturally lean towards the most anti-government should come as no surprise, given the trend of things. Human beings are naturally reactionary, after all. But as conservatives, we need to understand the risks of reactionary politics and there is no greater example of this than history. We like to talk about Rome falling because of its own corruption. We hear less about the fall of the Weimar Republic. Their democratic republic died when the people, divided by two extremist ends of reactionary political ideology, freely elected the Nazi Party to power. The other extreme was Communism.

Now, I’m not saying Ron Paul is a Nazi, although his hatred for Jews and blacks mixed with the cult-of-personality he has created for himself may bring us to that conclusion if we looked at it more closely. What I do mean to say is that reactionary politics rarely end where you want them to.

If you read enough on conservative literature from the last century and earlier, you’ll see time and again the same argument against reactionary politics. To be reactionary is to be progressive. “People don’t have healthcare?! The government ought to do something!” “The government did something?! The government ought to stop doing anything!”

Practically speaking, Ron Paul has zero chance of winning the GOP nomination. If he becomes the anti-Romney candidate, it will only ensure his candidacy. But let’s say Romney is assassinated by a Ron Paul supporter. Paulbots are utter cowards, but let’s just say it happens and, for some stupid reason, the Republican Party decides to make him our 2012 candidate. This already isn’t going to happen, but libertarians already live in a fantasy world, so it’s not as much of a stretch for them. We would then be left with an Barack Obama vs. Ron Paul contest. How do you honestly think that will end?

Any national security Republican will see Ron Paul’s idiot plan to cut military spending and dismantle the CIA as an enormous threat to our national security and global stability and vote for Obama.

Mainstream fiscal conservatives, while perhaps acknowledging that the Federal Reserve is being mismanaged, will realize the US is far better with the Fed than without it. They’ll vote for Obama for economic security and stability.

Ron Paul’s radical stance against Israel and support for the legalization of dangerous narcotics is going to scare away a lot of religious conservatives, too.

Even if these national security, fiscal stability, and Christian-right conservatives don’t actually vote for Obama, they aren’t going to vote for Ron Paul. In other words, they’ll stay home. That leaves a minority of radical anti-conservative reactionaries and anarchists representing Republican candidates NATION-WIDE against all of the Democratic Party.

Guess who wins in landslide fashion?

Instead of supporting a limited government platform with another candidate, Ron Paul’s reactionary supporters are choosing a radical anti-government platform that the American people will undoubtedly reject on a massive scale; giving Barack Obama the greatest mandate of any President in history along with an incredibly powerful Democrat Congress.

This is the danger of reactionary politics that radicals in the minority are so often blind to.

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Ron Paul Bribing Iowa Officials

A few days ago, I questioned why Iowa State Senator Kent Sorenson would suddenly abandon his support for Michelle Bachmann and back a dumber candidate like Ron Paul just a week before the Iowa Primary. Well, as it turns out, Ron Paul bribed Sorenson with $30,000 and promised an additional $8,000 a month if he would defect. While the money has got to be nice, Sorenson is going to have to waste every dime of it if he has any chance of getting re-elected in 2014. The people of Iowa are no fools and they know when their public officials are being bought off.

With regards to Ron Paul, I can’t say that I’m surprised. This racist, antisemitic conspiracy clown is one of the biggest hypocrites the Washington Beltway has ever known. On one hand, he denounces pork-barrel spending, while on the other hand ensuring that millions of federal tax dollars go towards pork projects in his district. With one hand, Ron Paul and his un-showered supporters are pointing their fingers at corrupt “neo-cons” while the other hand is simultaneously giving bribes to politicians so they can get their way.

Some of their supporters like to claim that, “Things were like that before, but everything is great now! Nobody really has anything to fear!”

And they’re right, we have nothing to fear except more of the same from these libertarian ass-clowns.

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Ron Paul Knows His Supporters Don’t Shower

Okay, time for Ron Paul supporters to start bashing the New York Times. They have an article explaining that Ron Paul’s campaign has given their volunteers some pretty strict orders.

And they say they are under strict orders: To look, dress, shave, sound and behave in a way that will not jeopardize Mr. Paul’s chances. Even before flying here on their own nickel, some students said they had been instructed to cover up tattoos and told that their faces should be fresh-shaved or beards neatly trimmed, wearing only nice clothes that one described as “business casual.”

“No tats,” another volunteer, Rocco Lucente, said as he ticked off the rules after arriving at the airport Tuesday night. No liquor, no drugs and, he said, no “fraternizing in the dorms, nothing like that.”

You would think they read my blog.

From “Very Early Iowa Prediction” on December 16th:

THE SECOND REASON why Ron Paul will under preform is because he just does. Ron Paul’s demographic is very vocal and very annoying, but a lot of them are too lazy to register to vote; and if they are registered, they are either too apathetic or stoned to get themselves out to do it. You remember that smelly kid who wore the same two hoodies everyday in school? He still smells and now he supports Ron Paul.

When Iowans Caucus, a few libertarian-minded conservatives considering Ron Paul despite of his wackiness will see the quality (or lack thereof) of the people making a pitch for Ron Paul and decide they don’t want anything to do with these losers. In addition to have never showered in the past year, Ron Paul’s supporters are exceptionally rude, inconsiderate, and just unagreeable “people” in general. Civilized people just don’t like them.

Look, I don’t care if they learn how to use a razor for something other than cutting cocaine. I don’t care if Ron Paul’s money bomb is to buy these idiots some clean clothes. I don’t even care if they give them some quarters to wash those clothes for a couple days. Ron Paul’s supporters are still obnoxious and they’re going to scare people away when Iowa voters caucus next week.

If you have to tell your supporters to stop doing drugs until after a contest, you should just forfeit.

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Bachmann’s Co-Chair Defects to Ron Paul Camp

UPDATE (12/31/2011): Ron Paul bribed Sorenson with $30,000 and a promise of $8,000 a month to secure his defection from the Bachmann campaign. It makes me wonder, “What kind of corrupt loser dumb-asses is Bachmann attracting?”

I’m so glad I don’t have a horse in this race that just keeps getting more and more stupid every day. The Iowa co-chairman of Michele Bachmann’s failing presidential campaign has just defected in order to support an arguably dumber candidate: Ron Paul.

Newt Gingrich’s recent drop in the polls has led him to be in 3rd place behind Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. Granted, I highly doubt Ron Paul is going to finish 2nd, but it would be a huge win for Romney (and a huge embarrassment for Iowa) if he did. The defection of State Senator Kent Sorenson probably won’t matter much in the long run; it’s not like Bachmann stood a chance; but there is a slight chance it will help Paul just enough to give Mitt Romney a crushing victory over Gingrich.

That’s not really the interesting part of this, however. For me, I received this news wondering, “What kind of loser dumb-asses is Bachmann attracting?”

Seriously, who defects to support Ron Paul? It’s not as if Ron Paul going to vote for that multi-million dollar pork project in his district. And it can’t be on issues, as Kent Sorenson insists, because Paul and Bachmann are complete opposites in their idiot rhetoric.

If I had to venture a guess, I would say it was probably political posturing. A couple of friends I have in Iowa say Kent Sorenson is in pretty deep with the TEA Party movement in Iowa. Having endorsed Ron Paul for the 2012 Iowa Caucus will give him a bit more street-cred with the most aggressive activists in that crowd. I can’t say it’s a good calculation if he wants to advance his career to US Congress or any state-wide office, but it’s probably a calculation like that none the less.

Of course, it’s also possible that Bachmann just really pissed him off or left him horribly unimpressed. According to a couple of reports, the defection came just hours after appearing on stage with Bachmann at one of her rallies. Did Bachmann say something really dumb? Probably. Was it dumber than normal though? I don’t know. Or is it possible that he just felt incredibly awkward standing on a stage in front of a measly 20 supporters a week before the Caucus?

A similar embarrassing incident was one of the final nails in Sam Brownback’s campaign in 2007 just before the Ames Straw Poll.

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The only difference would be that Sam Brownback knew when to throw in the towel.

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Iraq Was A Success

I seem to be one of the few people out there willing to call Operation Iraqi Freedom a success. Therefore, for the sake of our troops that gave their lives in this conflict and their families, I feel it is important to explain why the Iraq War ended with an American victory.

Let’s start at the beginning. I’ve made it no secret that I believe the war was a good idea, even if there was no intelligence that Saddam Hussein was keeping weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The problems I’ve had with the war was that the WMD argument was the single, central argument made for attacking Iraq. Granted, WMDs are pretty dangerous and the threat of them should not be taken lightly. However, the fact that Saddam was a dictator actively slaughtering his own people without mercy was reason enough for us to take action. Yet, as critics will point out, this has nothing to do with the Global War on Terrorism. Tactically speaking, this criticism is correct. Strategically speaking, well, that’s a different story.

By now, you’ve probably heard the term “The Bush Doctrine.” If you haven’t heard of it, or if you’re not sure what the Bush Doctrine is, it’s pretty simple to understand. The Bush Doctrine was based on a theory that Democracy was contagious. In other words. If Country A and Country B are both dictatorships, it is a lot easier for the people to live passively under the dictatorship. However, if the people of Country A are given the right to vote, the people of Country B are going to want to start voting, too. “Why should the Aopians have better rights than we, the Bians?”

Applied to this scenario, the Bush Doctrine recognizes certain politically incorrect truths about terrorism. First, that most international terrorists are coming from dictatorships the United States supports for oil security and their past support for our Containment Policy of the Soviet Union during the Cold War (that’s a topic for another post). Beyond this, politically and economically speaking, it was impossible to invade Saudi Arabia or Egypt without turning the entire Arab world against us and destroying the global economy; which is entirely dependent on oil from this region. Luckily for us, Saddam Hussein was the pissy red-headed step child of the Arab world that nobody really liked. The United States, believing that democracy was contagious, could topple his regime fairly easily and give the people of the country the right to vote. In time, we’ve already begun to see this happen, other people across the Muslim world would want to have the same freedom.

Unfortunately for everybody (except the Democrats against the war and al-Qaida), things most certainly were botched after Saddam’s regime was toppled. Specifically, the coalition’s policy of De-Ba’athification. Simply put, it was a witch-hunt for anybody with ties to Saddam’s Ba’ath party; which meant dismantling the entire Iraqi government, police force, and military. At face value, this seems like a good idea, but only a small minority of these people were at all responsible for the atrocities under the regime. In other words, we kicked competent leaders and skilled gunmen out of their paid positions and tried to fill their places with incompetent and untrained police and soldiers. And guess what those former leaders and soldiers did? That’s right, they tore the country to hell and made it impossible for the coalition to detect the infiltration of international terrorists from al-Qaida and Iran. This war might have been a lot shorter if we approached the post-war era of Iraq the same way as post World War II Germany, in which members of the Nazi Party who were not directly responsible for atrocities were able to keep their positions in a new anti-Communist Party led by several imprisoned political voices during the Nazi regime; the Christlich Demokratische Union (Christian Democratic Union) is still around and thriving today with Chancellor Angela Merkel as its chairwoman. What we failed to realize was that members of Saddam’s army and police forces were simply looking for work and a way to feed their families. Even those who did some pretty horrible things were simply following orders and afraid of what his superiors would do to his family if he didn’t follow those orders. A lot more soldiers were never even given overly controversial orders. The same is true with the police force and political leaders outside of Saddam’s inner-circle.

Law and order could have been maintained during the transition. Instead, we scrapped it for ideological purity; and instead of writing this post about success in 2005, I’m writing it just before the 2012 New Year.

Iraq was still ultimately successful, however. Two of Iraq’s neighbors have already experienced democratic revolutions, one in Iran and the other ongoing in Syria. Democratic revolutions have also taken place in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, and Bahrain. I’m not sure what to call the uprising in Yemen. Furthermore, political protests seem to keep popping up in Jordan, Algeria, Morocco, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. Now, as some Republican critics at this point will point out, the governments being elected aren’t exactly the most western-friendly we’ve seen. But the point is that they are being elected. We shouldn’t make the mistake of expecting too much too soon from emerging democracies. The United States certainly wasn’t born as a utopian democratic society, it took us a long time to get where we are.

The measure of success in Iraq is more than just what happens outside of Iraq, but what has already happened inside of Iraq. The democratic seed we planted in 2003 has sprouted into a thriving government strong enough to tell the United States military, “We don’t need you here anymore.” Upon the government telling us that, President Obama pulled our troops out and a lot of them were home in time for Christmas 2011. Republicans are calling that “defeat.” I’m calling that “Victory” with a capital “V.” From the outside, it looks like the government is a complete mess. It might even look like that from the inside. However, democratic republics are rarely a perfectly functioning entity. They have a hard time getting anything done and they tend to make problems a lot worse. Does that sound familiar? It should, because the Iraqi government is functioning about as well as the United States government is right now.

Is there still sectarian violence in Iraq? Yes. Is the United States the cause of it? No. That conflict has been waiting to happen for a very long time (ever since the French and British made up the most foolish borders possible in the region); and it’s just a matter of time before Iraq’s economy becomes strong enough to give people something else to do besides killing each other, or the military becomes strong enough to stop them from doing it. And if that fails, the Arab League will step in before the sectarian violence boils over Iraq’s borders, or before the Iranians try the same thing.

It’s probably like the first time someone changes a diaper on a newborn baby. Did you get poop on yourself, your stuff, and spread it around a bit more than you wanted to on your baby? Yes, probably. Do you feel like you did the best you could have done? No, probably not. But does that mean you’re unsuccessful when your child grows up and moves away from you? Of course not! Ultimately, that baby is better because it has a new diaper. You’re better because you hopefully learned from your mistakes; and the next time you change an shit-filled diaper like Saddam Hussein, it’s a lot cleaner. And the world is a lot better because they have one less shit-filled diaper to worry about smelling.

Why am I the only one saying this? That’s the easiest part of all of this. Republicans don’t want to give credit to Barack Obama for winning the Iraq War, and Democrats don’t want to give credit to George W. Bush for starting a winnable war. Democrats were only interested in retreat and defeat since the first day of the war. Republicans wanted to pull troops out under a Republican President… in truth, however, keeping troops there against the will of the Iraqi Government would have put our soldiers in CONSIDERABLE danger of arrest, imprisonment, and death-by-hanging at the hands of the legitimate government there.

In fact, I think this is the first time a war started by a Republican president has ended under a Democrat president.

The problem is that both sides are letting domestic politics dictate their definitions of a foreign war. As a result, both parties are selling short the incredible work that has been done by our Soldiers, Marines, Airmen, and Sailors. They won this war, even if politicians in Washington won’t recognize their victory, they won. They did everything they set out to accomplish and more with honor and distinction. When our politicians made mistake after mistake, they coped and relentlessly moved towards victory. The United States won this war and the war is better off because of the incredible sacrifices made by the men and women who accomplished incredible feats in Iraq.

Mission Accomplished. Finally. Congratulations.

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