Who I Won’t Support For President and Why Series: Sarah Palin « Kevin Tracy

Who I Won’t Support For President and Why Series: Sarah Palin

Posted By Travis Gearhart at 7:09 pm on January 4, 2010

As I had written in the Ron Paul piece in this series, this is a series of pretty much 90% of the Republican contenders for President. These pieces don’t mean that I would never support any of these candidates. If the candidates mentioned in this series brush up on what I would like them to and change their messages where I would like them to, I would be happy to wear a pin on my shirt for any of these candidates (just a disclaimer for those of you out there that think it’s “unconservative” to be honest about ones views on Republican candidates).

Regardless, my problems with Sarah Palin actually reside from the same keyword that was mentioned in the Paul piece: reality.

On the issues, I haven’t heard anything from her that I disagree with or am willing to be up in arms about. She wants to drill for more oil in Alaska, she wants to cut taxes, cut spending, yadda yadda yadda, everything you can look for when it comes to Republican rhetoric. She has a pretty good track record that backs up that rhetoric as well, and was a very popular governor in Alaska (until it became “hip” to hate her). She knows how to give a good speech that gets the base riled up, and was a breathe of fresh air to the McCain campaign.

So, why won’t I support her? As I had written above, while I share her ideology and like her freshness and passion for conservatism, I also have to analyze whether or not she could realistically win. And that means not just energizing the base that pulls straight R’s at the booths, that means bringing in independents as well.

Throughout her time on the campaign trail, I made all of the same excuses that everybody else does for her. “Oh, shes just nervous. She’ll get better. What? The winking? I kinda like it…sort of…” and on and on and on. After I found out that she had written a book, I told myself “Ok! This is where she’ll prove that she can talk to the media!” and then was, once again, disappointed.

Don’t get me wrong here. I don’t think that she’s necessarily stupid. You don’t get as far in politics as she has being stupid. However, she does convey that image by tripping over sentences, not being sure of herself when answering questions, or simply not knowing the answers to questions. The quality that riles up the base (the image of a regular Joe, who doesn’t use 5 dollar words to get her points across) also works against her with independents who already associate that same quality with a hatred for President Bush Jr. If Bush hadn’t also been a bit, well, dopey, that may have flown this time around. But it’s too close, and people too quickly associate that “dopiness” with “stupidity”, which may not be fair but is the cold hard truth. As far as her media image is concerned, she needs to polish it up for interviews with the media (if she’s able to) if she wants to make a serious run.

Another thing that really bothered me was her early departure from her term as governor. I heard all of the excuses on this one as well, with some saying that if she hadn’t of quit she’d be wasting tax payer money, blah blah blah, but to me? It looks like she couldn’t handle the job. Perhaps I’m wrong and it was just a serious mistaken political move, but to me and a good portion of voters out there it looked as though she threw in the towel. Couldn’t take the heat. Lost her cool. Which ever euphemism works best for you.

Last but not least: her book. In this instance, again, I have not had time to read “Going Rogue”, but from my understanding a good portion of the book was basically her whining about the McCain staff and the way that the staff acted on the campaign trail. Perhaps a good book, I do plan on reading it, but if I were Palin I wouldn’t be writing about stuff like that if I’m looking for support to have a serious chance at a presidential run. Why would anyone want to be on the trail with her, knowing in the back of their mind that afterwords, if you say or do anything that Palin might not agree with, she’s going to gossip about you to millions of Americans trough a tell-all book. I hate tell-all books, anyways. I hated the ones that said Bush supposedly snorted cocaine in the oval office, and I’ll probably not like the parts of Palins book that are “tell-all” chapters.

Perhaps Palin will be able to sharpen up her media image, win over independents, and find the people she needs to do the fist two of the list. I sincerely hope that she does, I would love to vote for her. Realistically, I don’t think it’ll happen, however, and for these reasons I can’t support her right now as a viable presidential contender.

6 Comments »

  1. Comment by daltonsbriefs on January 4, 2010

    Aha, a perfect way to bait me onto the site for a longer than normal comment, good work Travis.

    First, let me reiterate my prediction that not only will Governor Palin be the Republican nominee in 2012 for President, I differ entirely with Kevin and predict she will beat the Obama team (note I do not believe the Obama ticket will feature Joe Biden)

    Second, the press work done to Governor Palin was solid attack work, something we can learn alot from. The good news is she heard conservatives loud and clear, and blew off the press and their desire to manipulate her further. If I were governor, and could quit my job to make a million writing a book … I’d quit my job too.

    I’ll come back tomorrow when the Palin bashing settles, this is kinda fun.

  2. Comment by briand on January 4, 2010

    Even the favorite in a race horse usually has two to one or three to one odds against it. The odds against any one candidate are going to be high. I heard hundreds of reasons why McCain should not have won but he did and I am still amazed by that fact. In the last presidential primary I heard Dick Morris say that Giuliani and Hillary were going to square off and he was quite wrong. Unless you are actually placing money on the race I am not sure why it should be such a concern. Pick the person that you most agree with and you cannot go wrong. People need to think enough to have an opinion or grow big enough spines to fight for those beliefs and those who stand for them. Leave the hedging and parsing to actual politicians.

  3. Comment by Kevin Tracy on January 5, 2010

    I disagree Steve, if we’re going to beat Obama, we need to have a “No Excuses” candidate. As Travis mentioned above, we need WAY too many excuses to convince people simply that Palin isn’t stupid, let alone that people should vote for her to be the leader of the free world.

    2012 will be another demolition derby primary, which is obvious because neither of the parties are trying to force Michigan and Florida’s primaries back. For that reason alone, she might win the primary, but under the circumstances of a three cycles ago, she wouldn’t have stood a chance and for most of the reasons Travis mentioned.

  4. Comment by Laurie on January 5, 2010

    I think it’s important to remember that she quit her job for a reason. Sounds great for her to say that she’s swimmin’ a different stream or whatever she said. But the fact remains that a heavily Republican Alaskan body had some very specific questions/charges for Governor Palin to answer. Miss Wasilla’s reality,learned will on the beauty stage, is that you take a deep breath, blink fast, smile sweet, flirt a bit with the camera and stall like hell when you have no good answer. She’s left a lot of unanswered questions in Alaska, something that the Democrats won’t forget. No amount of whining about the media will prevent them from coming back at her-and I still don’t think she has a satisfactory, honest answer.

  5. Comment by Laurie on January 5, 2010

    Daltonsbriefs:

    Your prediction of Palin as the 2012 nominee may come true. If it does, the GOP is dead with independents. If it does, it only proves that the GOP is willing to sacrifice true leadership for a pretty face.

    Palin and the GOP in general banged on a couple of things throughout the election as negatives for Obama: One, that he was nothin’ more than a community organizer (and she had EXECUTIVE experience, donchaknow)and that he was nothin’ more than a celebrity.

    What has she done since? Oh, right. Developed a huge followin’ on Facebook (learnin’ to Twitter, too!) had more media appearances than any movie star I can think of and had a best sellin’ book. So, community organizer and celebrity? She’s nothin’ but. And she’s done exactly nothing to shore up the one thing that scared the bejeezus out of independents: Her lack of knowledge and expertise with policy. All of this is a Democrat strategy player’s best dream. The soundbites/video clips alone would be priceless.

  6. Comment by Laurie on January 11, 2010

    Well, golly. Miss Wasilla is now a Fox News Babe. Perfect.

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